This can go to GINCIDENT, who ran a cracker in a more competitive event at York earlier this month and still looks feasibly treated. Spioradalta and Papagei look the principal dangers.
Gincident
Spioradalta
Papagei
1m2f Hcap
Each Way terms: 1/5 odds for first 3 places
1. Gincident
J: Cieren FallonT: James Owen
F: 5-9133312
Price History:
3.00
Age:
5
Weight:
9-11
Gear:
hood and tongue strap
Official Rating:
80
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Made a positive start for James Owen, scoring twice, and arrives on back of good second of 20 in handicap at York (10.2f, good to firm, 5/1) 11 days ago. Raised 3 lb since but looks sure to go well again.
7. Shimmering Sands
J: Joanna MasonT: Michael & David Easterby
F: 323246-60
Price History:
4.50
Age:
6
Weight:
9-2
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
71
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Without a win last year but made the frame 5 times and possible he needed reappearance outing at Ayr last month. Little went right for him at York since and he figures off a handy mark.
2. Papagei
J: Jonny PeateT: James Ferguson
F: 33114-303
Price History:
5.00
Age:
4
Weight:
9-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
79
Days Since Last Run:
24
Verdict
Scored 3 times (at up to 11.8f) last season and got back on track when close third of 5 in handicap at Lingfield (11.6f, good, 3/1) 24 days ago. Likely contender.
4. Flickering Halo
J: David AllanT: Tim Easterby
F: 32560-614
Price History:
8.50
Age:
4
Weight:
9-6
Gear:
cheekpieces
Official Rating:
75
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
C&D winner. 1 win from 3 runs this year. Latest win at Newcastle in May. Fourth of 6 in handicap (4/1) at Leicester (11.8f, good to firm) 21 days ago. Can make presence felt.
6. Spioradalta
J: Rhys ElliottT: Mark Walford
F: 5430-4416
Price History:
10.00
Age:
5
Weight:
9-3
Gear:
cheekpieces
Official Rating:
72
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Took advantage of drop in weights when resuming winning ways at Ripon (9.8f) last month and far from disgraced, off 4 lb higher, when sixth of 20 in handicap (14/1) at York (10.2f, good to firm) 11 days ago. Cheekpieces back on. Merits consideration.
3. Individualism
J: Jason HartT: Charlie Johnston
F: 206216-87
Price History:
9.50
Age:
4
Weight:
9-9
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
78
Days Since Last Run:
39
Verdict
Had wind op/off 9 months before coming in eighth of 9 on return at Haydock in April and no improvement at Hamilton since. Work to do.
8. Princess Niyla
J: Tom EavesT: Alan Brown
F: 0525-3310
Price History:
15.00
Age:
5
Weight:
8-13
Gear:
cheekpieces
Official Rating:
68
Days Since Last Run:
11
Verdict
Back to winning ways over C&D last month and found York handicap too competitive since. Better expected back here.
5. Squeezebox
J: Luke MorrisT: Michael Appleby
F: 725015-45
Price History:
41.00
Age:
6
Weight:
9-4
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
73
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Fifth of 6 in handicap (4/1) at Leicester (11.8f, good to firm) 21 days ago, needing stronger gallop. Others more persuasive.