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Kembla Grange

Today, Flat6f
Verdict

Loads of chances in a very tricky race. OCTOBER STAR (9) found the line nicely to get up for third two back over 1200m at Wyong then wasn't comfortable on a heavy track last start in a run worth overlooking. Looks ready for a first crack at 1400m. UP THE FRONT (7) wasn't the best away but rallied strongly to finish a close fourth last time out over 1300m at Newcastle. Rock hard fit and another 100m today makes him very hard to stop. ALL MACHIAVELLIAN (10) was very good two back in a BM68 over the mile then stoked up late but was never a threat here at this trip most recently. Veteran who doesn't win out of turn but if he runs to his best he can take care of this field. EVERIDO (2) settled midfield and failed to improve first-up over 1100m at Warwick Farm. Can improve sharply in this far more suitable contest. ONEFORIAN (3) ran a nice race first-up in open company at Canberra. Has won two from five at 1400m so this looks well within reach.

  • 9. October Star
  • 10. All Machiavellian
  • 2. Everido
Win Only
  • 8. 8. Sinister
    J: CHAD LEVERT: BJORN BAKER
    F: 313x
    Price History:
    4.20
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    59
    Days Since Last Run:
    181
    Verdict
    Resuming after a six months break. Finished off last campaign third of 7 at Nowra Cl1-Sw February 8 over 1600m, on heavy track; 5 len behind Tabor carrying 57.5kg at $1.45. On debut third of 12 at Orange Mdn-Sw January 6 over 1400m, a long neck behind Rule Of Faith with 57.5kg at $3.90. Lightly raced and has great scope for improvement this prep.
  • 3. 3. Oneforian
    J: CORIAH KEATINGST: NICK OLIVE
    F: 735x3
    Price History:
    5.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    15
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after three months raced on the pace when 3rd of 11 at Canberra Acton Tab Fed Open 85 on July 24 over 1280m, 1.2 len behind Brooklyn Lights carrying 55kg at $4.60. Previously second-up won by a neck at Sapphire Coast Bm66 January 31 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Your Not The Boss with 59.5kg at $4.40. Fitter and should be in the mix.
  • 10. 10. All Machiavellian
    J: JEAN VAN OVERMEIRET: ROBERT & LUKE PRICE
    F: 42739
    Price History:
    4.75
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    55
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    Last start settled back and ran on when 9th of 15 at Illawarra Grange Bm64 on July 30 over 1400m, 2.75 len behind Stallone carrying 56.5kg at $12. The run before that 3rd of 10 at this track Cond Bm68 on June 20 over 1600m, on a slow track; 1.75 len behind Glastonbury Girl carrying 55kg at $4.20. Hard one to follow but certainly worth another chance.
  • 2. 2. Everido
    J: JESSICA BROOKEST: KEITH DRYDEN & LIBBY SNOWDEN
    F: 100x5
    Price History:
    5.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    66
    Days Since Last Run:
    24
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after four months 5th of 9 at Warwick Farm Bm72 on July 15 over 1100m, 6 len behind Jarrito with 58.5kg at $31. Previously second-up 11th of 16 at Sapphire Coast Sera Champ on March 1 over 1400m, on a slow track; 11 len behind Vermicella carrying 57.5kg at $5.50. Can improve sharply back at the provincials.
  • 5. 5. Rocco Lini
    J: BRODIE LOYT: B JOSEPH & P & M JONES
    F: 4516x
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    61
    Days Since Last Run:
    139
    Verdict
    Resuming. Finished off last campaign sixth of 8 at Goulburn Bm74 March 22 over 1600m, soft track; 7 len behind Miss Stalwart with 57kg at $2.60. First up last campaign third in a small field at Nowra Ctry Cl1 September 21 over 1200m, soft track; 3 len behind The Main Event carrying 58kg at $5. Not out of contention.
  • 1. 1. Leica Storm
    J: CLAIRE RAMSBOTHAMT: MATTHEW SMITH
    F: 2121x
    Price History:
    8.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    67
    Days Since Last Run:
    859
    Verdict
    Resuming after a break of two-and-a-half years. Finished off last preparation by 2.75 len Warwick Farm Bm72 April 1 2024 over 1600m defeating Pier Pressure with 56kg at $4.50. First up last campaign third of 12 at Mudgee Ctry Bm58 December 1 2023 over 1200m, soft track; 1.0 len behind Cyclone Rupert with 58.5kg at $2.50. Honest veteran who can never be written off.
  • 9. 9. October Star
    J: MITCHELL BELLT: RICHARD LITT
    F: 7x536
    Price History:
    9.00
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-12
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    56
    Days Since Last Run:
    21
    Verdict
    At the latest run ran second last of 7 at Gosford Cg&E Cl1 on July 18 over 1200m, on heavy track; 9 len behind Stability carrying 58kg at $6.50. The run before that made ground from midfield; 3rd of 12 at Wyong Bm64 on July 4 over 1200m, slow going 1.75 len behind Written Scandal with 58kg at $31. Worth forgiving that run on a heavy deck and can turn things around.
  • 6. 6. Bon Frankie
    J: GLENN CAHILLT: AARON CLARKE
    F: x1663
    Price History:
    9.50
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    60
    Days Since Last Run:
    48
    Verdict
    Returns from a 48-day let-up. Last start raced on speed throughout when 3rd of 9 at Wagga Bm82 on June 21 over 1600m, on a wet track; 3.5 len behind Mathrin carrying 56.5kg at $4.20. Before that eased back early on 6th of 9 at Randwick Kensington Cg&E Bm72 on June 10 over 1400m, slow going 6 len behind Supermassive carrying 55.5kg at $20. Should give a good account despite the gap between runs.
  • 11. 11. Hammering Away
    J: JEFF PENZAT: DIANE POIDEVIN-LAINE
    F: 50x80
    Price History:
    67.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    53
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming got back early 8th of 10 at Goulburn Cl3 on July 17 over 1100m, slow going 4 len behind Extrio with 56.5kg at $81. Second run from a spell 11th of 13 at Illawarra Grange Prov Bm68 on July 30 over 1200m, 6 len behind Heuristic carrying 55kg at $101. Hard to make much of a case.
Non-Runners
  • 4. 4. Powder Man
    J: JON GRISEDALET: DONNA GRISEDALE
    F: 42x46
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    62
    Days Since Last Run:
    9
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up 4th of 7 at Doomben Cg&E Cl3 on June 24 over 1110m, on a slow track; 2.5 len behind Braveheart carrying 55.5kg at $21. Last start 6th of 13 at Illawarra Grange Prov Bm68 on July 30 over 1200m, 3.5 len behind Heuristic with 58.5kg at $17. Not out of calculations.

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