The PGA Tour reaches its climax this week when the top 30 players in the FedEx Cup standings compete at the Tour Championship for the ultimate $15million bonus prize.  

Just like last year, the last tournament of the play-offs will use a controversial starting strokes index derided by many in which FedEx Cup leader Dustin Johnson tees off on Friday on -10, Jon Rahm -8 and Justin Thomas -7 and so forth, with the last five in the standings all on level par.

Johnson, pipped by Jon Rahm in a thrilling finish to last week’s BMW Championship, is the 7/4 favourite in the golf odds to win the FedEx Cup, with the Spaniard at 11/4.

But rather than concentrating on the outright market, our Tour Championship betting tips are focused on the market without starting strokes. 

Tournament information

When is the Tour Championship? September 4-7

Where is it being played? East Lake, Atlanta

Which channel is the Tour Championship on? Sky Sports

Tour Championship betting tips

The Donald Ross-designed course in Atlanta measures around 7,350 yards, favouring excellent ball strikers that can find fairways consistently to avoid the penal rough and those whose putters can master the quick Bermudagrass greens.

Rory McIlroy, 10/1 in the Tour Championship betting odds, has twice won here, but he will withdraw from the tournament should his expectant wife go into labour, so we kick off our preview by favouring Tony Finau at 18/1 to shoot the lowest score over 72 holes.

The American’s three previous visits to East Lake read 7-15-7 and he closed with an excellent 65 to finish fifth at Olympia Fields for a fourth top-10 in his last six events.

Finau is eighth in strokes gained tee to green this season, so with his driving looking in good shape he should go well at this long par-70 where there are half a dozen 450-yard plus par-fours.

At the same price Hideki Matsuyama catches the eye at a place where he is making his seventh successive appearance, the best run of any player in the field alongside Patrick Reed. 

Familiarity with the course has helped him twice finish inside the top five in two of the previous four renewals and he was 12th last year.

The Japanese star was one of only five players from a 70-man field to finish with a sub-par total at the BMW Championship, a closing 69 good enough to guarantee a share of third place, so he heads to Atlanta in excellent form.

Only Justin Thomas has better SG: tee to green stats than Matsuyama, whose last victory came at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational three years ago.

However, he starts six shots adrift of Johnson and last year the best scores came from those further down the field at the start of play so hopefully he can take inspiration from McIlroy’s comeback win in 2019 and post a low score.

Billy Horschel won this tournament six years ago, but needed a helping hand from Corey Conners to finish in the top 30 this time round.

The affable American was 31st in the standings when he parred his final hole at the BMW Championship but jumped a crucial place a few minutes later when Conners three-putted from five feet.

Horschel said: “You never want to see something like that happen to anybody. I’ll probably give him a nice bottle of wine or a good dinner or something.”

Of the players in the field only Xander Schauffele has a better average score than Horschel’s 67.83 per round and he was runner-up on his last visit here in 2018, so looks worth an each-way punt at 33/1 as the third of our Tour Championship betting tips.

Finally, Brendon Todd looks worth a whirl at 60/1 as the last of our Tour Championship betting tips for what will be only his second appearance at East Lake.

Todd is deadly accurate off the tee and he is 21st for strokes gained putting, two skill sets that will be essential this week.

The American, 17th on his only previous visit, won back-to-back titles at the Bermuda Championship and the Mayakoba Classic in November last year, but he has been consistent since the tour resumed, posting four top-20 finishes, including eighth at last week’s BMW Championship.

Author Image

Next Story