Caulfield

Tomorrow, September 19, 2025Flat5fSoft

Verdict

This race all revolves around the resuming NADAL (1). He's off a nine-month, injury enforced spell which is the obvious query, and just one 800m jump out (which he won) doesn't exactly suggest he'll be wound up. That said, his progression last time in was outstanding, highlighted by a dominant win over Rey Magnerio and Baraqiel in The Meteorite at Cranbourne. The late betting will be key to his chances. OAK HILL (4) was ridden for luck and didn't get it in the G1 Moir Stakes last start. His form prior is good, but getting away from his usual 1000m and Moonee Valley is of some concern. RED HOT NICC (7) also comes away from The Valley, a drifter in betting and outclassed behind Angel Capital after going too fast in front last time. He can be in this for longer. TIGER SHARK (6) jumps off the page having finished 1.5 lengths off Headwall & Lady Shenandoah last time, but he was behind Oak Hill prior. COASTWATCH (2) may need further but could sprint well off a good trial win.

1. Nadal
4. Oak Hill
7. Red Hot Nicc

R4 1100m Hcap

4. 4. Oak Hill
J: BLAKE SHINNT: BEN, WILL & JD HAYES
F: 1x150
Price History:
2.80
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
96
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Last start from last on the turn 11th of 14 at Moonee Valley in the G1 Moir Stks on September 6 over 1000m, 3 len behind Baraqiel with 58.5kg at $19. The start before that from last on the turn 5th of 7 at Moonee Valley in the LR Norman Carlyon on August 23 over 1000m, 2.5 len behind Baraqiel carrying 57kg at $2.50. Best form reads well.
1. 1. Nadal
J: LUKE CARTWRIGHTT: CIARON MAHER
F: 1417x
Price History:
4.75
Age:
5
Weight:
2-0
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
102
Days Since Last Run:
273
Verdict
Gelding back from a spell of nine months. Has placed previously first up from a break. Finished off last preparation seventh of 13 at Pakenham Supernova December 21 over 1400m, 3 len behind Here To Shock with 58.5kg at $2.50. First up last campaign fourth of 14 at Flemington Bm78 September 14 2024 over 1100m, soft track; 1.5 len behind Moby Dick with 60kg at $4.50. Off an injury but his best beats these.
8. 8. Klabel
J: CRAIG WILLIAMST: RICHARD & CHANTELLE JOLLY
F: 2246x
Price History:
6.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
90
Days Since Last Run:
168
Verdict
First-up. Finished off last campaign sixth of 14 at this track in the G3 Vic Hcp April 5 over 1400m, 2.5 len behind Nicolini Vito with 54kg at $15. First up last campaign fourth of 10 at Morphettville in the LR Durbridge January 25 over 1100m, 2 len behind Prairie Flower carrying 58.5kg at $21. Rough hope.
7. 7. Red Hot Nicc
J: THOMAS STOCKDALET: PHILLIP STOKES
F: 07115
Price History:
7.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-11
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
92
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
At the latest run did the work up front then tired 5th of 7 at Moonee Valley in the LR Chautauqua on September 6 over 1200m, 4 len behind Angel Capital with 55kg at $6. The race before that won by 1.3 len at Moonee Valley Bm84 August 23 over 1200m defeating Stoli Bolli carrying 61.5kg at $6.50. Can bounce back.
6. 6. Tiger Shark
J: LUKE CURRIET: CLAYTON DOUGLAS
F: 89x44
Price History:
6.00
Age:
5
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
97
Days Since Last Run:
14
Verdict
Third-up today and won third-up in the past. Resuming got back early second last in a small field at Moonee Valley Bm100 on August 9 over 1000m, on a slow track; 2 len behind Oak Hill with 55kg at $12. Second-up ran on strongly from last on the turn; 4th of 12 at Randwick in the G3 Concorde on September 6 over 1000m, 1.5 len behind Headwall with 55kg at $51. Very good last time, hard to hold out.
3. 3. Recommendation
J: RYAN HOUSTONT: CIARON MAHER
F: 83528
Price History:
10.00
Age:
6
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
100
Days Since Last Run:
35
Verdict
Returns from a 35-day let-up. Most recently ran last of 8 at this track in the LR Regal Roller on August 16 over 1200m, slow going 5.5 len behind Pop Award with 58kg at $4.20. The start before that raced on speed throughout when 2nd of 7 at Morphettville in the G3 Behemoth on August 9 over 1200m, on a slow track; neck behind Queman with 58.5kg at $7. Needs to find best but hard to write off entirely.
2. 2. Coastwatch
J: JYE MCNEILT: RICHARD & WILL FREEDMAN
F: 4800x
Price History:
21.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-13
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
100
Days Since Last Run:
126
Verdict
Back from a spell. Finished off last campaign when last of 15 at Scone in the LR Luskinstar May 17 over 1300m, soft track; 17 len behind The Instructor with 57.5kg at $41. Previously first up; fifth of 13 at Rosehill in the G2 Theo Marks September 14 2024 over 1300m, 1.5 len behind Encap carrying 54kg at $21. May need further but could sprint well fresh.
5. 5. Jigsaw
J: LOGAN BATEST: CINDY ALDERSON
F: x760x
Price History:
34.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-12
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
95
Days Since Last Run:
317
Verdict
Resuming after a break of 11 months. Finished off last preparation when last of 11 at Flemington in the LR Chstr Manifold November 7 over 1600m, 15 len behind Light Infantry Man carrying 55kg at $26. When resuming last campaign seventh of 10 at Flemington in the LR Headquarters October 5 over 1400m, soft track; 4 len behind Uncle Bryn with 56.5kg at $9.50. Need to see him return.
9. 9. Celsius Star
J: CRAIG NEWITTT: SHAWN MATHRICK
F: 338x8
Price History:
41.00
Age:
7
Weight:
1-10
Gear:
-
Official Rating:
86
Days Since Last Run:
21
Verdict
Second-up. First-up after six months 8th of 11 at this track in the G3 The Heath 1100 on August 30 over 1100m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Tropicus with 57kg at $151. Previously second-up 6th of 9 at this track in the LR Caul Village on November 16 over 1100m, 3 len behind Kin carrying 58kg at $26. Can't have.

Caulfield

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