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pokercasinosports

Ellerslie

Today, Flat7fSoft

TARDELLI (4) let down beautifully to score fresh up here, and then left his run too late off a slow pace to finish a game third here last time out. He has a better gate this time and will also carry 3kg less. The extra 100m is ideal, and he is the one to beat. HASSTOBEAWINNER (5) was seventh resuming in the same race as the top pick. He had won a trial nicely before that, and will be spot on for his second-up assignment. He may not win often, but he has definite top 3 claims in this. CANNON HILL (7) was sixth against most of these here last time out, and is best when saved up for a last run at them. If the pace is genuine, then he can bounce straight back into the money. TALISKER (9) had a tough trip from a wide gate fresh up at Taupo, and has a superior gate this time. He wouldn't mind some cut in the ground, and should finish a lot closer this time. Each way value. MY LIPS ARE SEALED (6) will be peaking third up and has Opie Bosson back in the saddle. Don't drop her yet.

  • 4. Tardelli
  • 5. Hasstobeawinner
  • 7. Cannon Hill
Win Only
  • 4. 4. Tardelli
    J: SAM MCNABT: STEPHEN MARSH
    F: 28x13
    Price History:
    2.20
    Age:
    4
    Weight:
    1-13
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    93
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up in the past. First-up favourite; ran on from midfield and won by 2 len at this track September 20 over 1400m on a soft track defeating Cannon Hill with 57.5kg at $3.30. Second run from a spell 3rd of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1400m, 1.3 len behind Arabian Songbird with 60.5kg at $1.90. Profiles nicely. Fitter and is right in this.
  • 7. 7. Cannon Hill
    J: MATT CARTWRIGHTT: TONY PIKE
    F: 1x526
    Price History:
    4.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    82
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    At the latest run 6th of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1400m, 5.5 len behind Arabian Songbird carrying 55.5kg at $12. Before that ran on from midfield; 2nd of 11 at this track on September 20 over 1400m, slow going 2 len behind Tardelli with 54.5kg at $6.90. Capable of sharp improvement.
  • 5. 5. Hasstobeawinner
    J: JOE DOYLET: ROGER JAMES & ROBERT WELLWOOD
    F: 303x7
    Price History:
    6.50
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    84
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Second run back. First-up after six months 7th of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1400m, 6 len behind Arabian Songbird with 56.5kg at $26.60. Previously second-up 3rd of 15 at this track Rating 65 on December 7 over 1500m, slow going 0.5 len behind Queen Zou carrying 60kg at $8.70. Rates highly and should improve sharply.
  • 9. 9. Talisker
    J: CRAIG GRYLLST: MARK WALKER & SAM BERGERSON
    F: 149x9
    Price History:
    8.50
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    81
    Days Since Last Run:
    25
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after seven months 9th of 14 at Taupo on October 10 over 1300m, on a slow track; 5.5 len behind Churchillian with 55kg at $10.30. Previously second-up 2nd of 7 at Te Rapa on December 21 over 1400m, on a slow track; neck behind Tanganyika with 58.5kg at $5.60. Will be better for that run and is a winning hope.
  • 11. 11. Keegan
    J: VINNIE COLGANT: BEN & RYAN FOOTE
    F: 214x5
    Price History:
    12.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    77
    Days Since Last Run:
    25
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after three months 5th of 14 at Taupo on October 10 over 1300m, slow going 3.5 len behind Churchillian with 54kg at $13.20. Previously second-up 2nd of 11 at Cambridge Synthetic on June 4 over 1300m, 3.5 len behind Lhasa with 58kg at $3.80. Has ability and is one of the chances.
  • 6. 6. My Lips Are Sealed
    J: OPIE BOSSONT: MARK WALKER & SAM BERGERSON
    F: 38x68
    Price History:
    13.00
    Age:
    5
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    86
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up previously. Resuming eased back early on 6th of 11 at this track on September 20 over 1400m, on a slow track; 6 len behind Tardelli carrying 55.5kg at $9.40. Second-up settled back and ran on when 8th of 13 at Matamata in the LR Matamata Cup on October 17 over 1600m, on a slow track; 3.5 len behind Agera carrying 53kg at $4.90. Won't be far away.
  • 1. 1. Habana
    J: WARREN KENNEDYT: LANCE NOBLE
    F: 0x300
    Price History:
    17.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    96
    Days Since Last Run:
    38
    Verdict
    Comes off a 38 day let-up. Most recently sat on the speed throughout before fading 11th of 14 at Te Rapa in the G1 Howden Mile on September 27 over 1600m, in the wet; 9 len behind Waitak carrying 59kg at $41.10. The start before that second last of 16 at this track in the G1 Proisir Plate on September 6 over 1400m, slow going 6 len behind Quintessa with 59kg at $43.90. Better than that and cannot be underestimated.
  • 12. 12. Pow Wow
    J: DARREN DANIST: TONY DEVCICH
    F: 60x40
    Price History:
    17.00
    Age:
    9
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    74
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Third-up today and won third-up in the past. First-up raced on the speed and boxed on steadily 4th of 9 at Cambridge Synthetic on September 24 over 1300m, 1.75 len behind Fun Never Sets carrying 60.5kg at $9.10. Last start raced on the pace before fading 12th of 17 at this track on October 18 over 1600m, 4 len behind War Of Succession carrying 59kg at $51.80. Definite winning hope.
  • 2. 2. Khafre
    J: HAYLEY HASSMANT: RALPH MANNING
    F: 21x90
    Price History:
    34.00
    Age:
    6
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    94
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming second last of 10 at Te Rapa on September 27 over 1200m, in the wet; 6 len behind Whiskey 'N Roses carrying 58kg at $51.50. Last start raced on the speed throughout before fading to run last of 13 at Matamata in the LR Matamata Cup on October 17 over 1600m, on a slow track; 5 len behind Agera with 58kg at $9.50. Looking elsewhere.
  • 3. 3. Mali Ston
    J: ASHLEE STRAWBRIDGET: DARRYN & BRIAR WEATHERLEY
    F: 6x056
    Price History:
    34.00
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    2-0
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    94
    Days Since Last Run:
    18
    Verdict
    Most recently 6th of 13 at Matamata in the LR Matamata Cup on October 17 over 1600m, on a slow track; 2.75 len behind Agera with 57.5kg at $15.20. The start before that 5th of 9 at Te Rapa on September 14 over 1200m, in the wet; 8 len behind Midnight Edition with 58kg at $38.80. Likely to find this out of reach.
  • 10. 10. Myla
    J: JASMINE FAWCETTT: Moira & Kieran Murdoch
    F: 160x0
    Price History:
    81.00
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    79
    Days Since Last Run:
    17
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after eight months ran last of 14 at this track on October 18 over 1400m, 20 len behind Arabian Songbird with 53kg at $56.80. Previously second-up came from midfield; 3rd of 15 at this track on November 5 over 1400m, on a slow track; 1.0 len behind Cannon Hill with 54kg at $34.90. Can't recommend.
  • 8. 8. Nest Egg
    J: COURTNEY BARNEST: STEPHEN MARSH
    F: 004x0
    Price History:
    71.00
    Age:
    7
    Weight:
    1-11
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    81
    Days Since Last Run:
    10
    Verdict
    Second-up. First-up after six months second last of 11 at this track on October 25 over 1600m, slow going 7 len behind The Odyssey carrying 54.5kg at $32.80. Previously second-up won by a head at this track Hcp September 21 2024 over 2100m on a rain affected track defeating Cleese with 58kg at $23.90. Others make more appeal.
  • 13. 13. Gallant Hero
    J: WIREMU PINNT: CLINTON ISDALE
    F: 25x55
    Price History:
    151.00
    Age:
    8
    Weight:
    1-10
    Gear:
    -
    Official Rating:
    70
    Days Since Last Run:
    11
    Verdict
    Third-up today and placed third-up previously. Resuming 5th of 14 at Arawa Park on October 12 over 1400m, on heavy track; 4.5 len behind Smart Love carrying 58kg at $88.60. Last start second last in a small field at New Plymouth Raceway on October 24 over 1600m, in the wet; 6 len behind Tshiebwe with 58kg at $6.70. Needs to do more. Has ability but needs to do more.

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