TOOTSIE is one of the least exposed runners and had been shaping well in handicaps prior to doing too much too soon back over 7f at Carlisle last time. She looks capable of defying this mark back on the AW, while Coloane was unlucky to be beaten by just a head twice in AW handicaps last autumn and rates the main danger having shaped well at Ripon 10 days ago. Of the rest, Al Shabab was second on his only previous visit here and could hit the frame again if the strong forecast pace materialises.